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Best picture

Will win: Sinners
Should win: The Secret Agent
Shoulda been a contender: The Mastermind

Best director

Will win: Paul Thomas Anderson for One Battle After Another
Should win: Paul Thomas Anderson for One Battle After Another
Shoulda been a contender: Kleber Mendonça Filho for The Secret Agent

Best actor

Will win: Michael B Jordan for Sinners
Should win: Timothée Chalamet for Marty Supreme
Shoulda been a contender: Josh O’Connor for The Mastermind

Best actress

Will win: Jessie Buckley for Hamnet
Should win: Jessie Buckley for Hamnet
Shoulda been a contender: Jennifer Lawrence for Die My Love

Best supporting actor

Will win: Delroy Lindo for Sinners
Should win: Delroy Lindo for Sinners
Shoulda been a contender: Russell Crowe for Nuremberg

Best supporting actress

Will win: Wunmi Mosaku for Sinners
Should win: Teyana Taylor for One Battle After Another
Shoulda been a contender: Gwyneth Paltrow for Marty Supreme

Best animated feature

Will win: Zootopia 2
Should win: Little Amélie
Shoulda been a contender: Fixed

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: One Battle After Another
Should win: One Battle After Another
Shoulda been a contender: Don’t Let’s Go to the Dogs Tonight

Best original screenplay

Will win: Sinners
Should win: It Was Just an Accident
Shoulda been a contender: Black Bag

Best documentary

Will win: Mr Nobody Against Putin
Should win: Mr Nobody Against Putin
Shoulda been a contender: Ocean With David Attenborough

Best international feature film

Will win: Sentimental Value
Should win: The Secret Agent
Shoulda been a contender: The Ice Tower

Best production design

Will win: Hamnet
Should win: Hamnet
Shoulda been a contender: Bugonia

Best cinematography

Will win: Train Dreams
Should win: Train Dreams
Shoulda been a contender: The Secret Agent

Best makeup and hair

Will win: Frankenstein
Should win: Frankenstein
Shoulda been a contender: Blue Moon

Best costume design

Will win: Sinners
Should win: Sinners
Shoulda been a contender: The Phoenician Scheme

Best editing

Will win: Sentimental Value
Should win: Sentimental Value
Shoulda been a contender: Die My Love