www.silverguide.site –

This could all hinge on the scrum.

Not that England fans need reminding, but this relationship is now defined by two scrums.

One in 2019 when Tendai ‘Beast’ Mtawarira consumed Dan Cole. And then in 2023 when Ox ‘salads-don’t-win-scrums’ Nche turned the tide in the semi-final.

The players are out. Well, England first. Then come the South Africans, led by muscled men dressed like a Zulu warriors, brandishing spears and knobkerries.

Then come the Boks, led by Damian Willense and Cheslin Kolbe who win their 50th caps.

Luca Human has been in touch hoping for some Saffa joy:

“After the disappointing result against Canada, hoping for a bit of a rebound for SA sports today. Sucks re Siya & Eben, but as an avid Stormers fan I have full confidence in Paul de Villiers.”

Add in the Women’s T20 World Cup – where England trounced South Africa – and good news on the pitch has been in short supply.

David Flatman and Topsy Ojo are on screen chatting about altitude.

Johannesburg sits 1,750 metres above sea level.

Bryan Habana is now talking about.

Does it matter? Well, if you’re interested, I explored that here.

Wales beat Fiji 39-24.

Shame for Fiji but from what I saw they were pretty sloppy.

So that’s 2-2 in the Nations Championship so far. A reminder of the results:

  • New Zealand 34-32 France

  • Japan 27-10 Italy

  • Australia 31-33 Ireland

  • Fiji 24-39 Wales

Why are Wales second there? Because technically they were the away side. A farce, really, as the game was played in Cardiff. But for reasons that do not extend beyond finances Fiji aren’t hosting any of their home games. I hope they’re making a fortune and this is the last year this malarky happens.

Curious to see how many fans are in the stands today.

You’d think it’d be a sell-out. But a combination of expensive tickets, the stadium being located in a part of town with a poor reputation, and that the All Blacks are playing two matches in the province in August, means SA Rugby have struggled to sling tickets.

They’ve reduced the price (which is a tough break for those who did pay the premium fee) and have been quite punchy, saying:

“Predictions that the attendance would be little more than 21 000 were entirely erroneous and misinformed. SA Rugby hopes to get close to the historic average against England in SA of 91% of the stadiums’ capacity in a market in which tickets are on sale for four Test matches and two provincial matches against the touring All Blacks. Assertions of lack of interest are unfounded and not supported by the actual sales data.”

Well, no one said there wasn’t interest. I have interest in living in a house with a swimming pool.

England team news

It’s not as dramatic, but England have had to make a late change of their own.

George Furbank has appendicitis and was taken to hospital yesterday. That means Marcus Smith moves from the bench to the 15 jersey.

Henry Slade joins the 23 on the bench.

Steve Borthwick has gone for some big timber in the pack and has picked a 6-2 split. George Martin and Alex Coles could win this match for their country if they stand up and wear down the now lightened Springboks pack.

Of course all eyes will be on the bench, eager to see Henry Pollock enter the scene. No visiting player since Jonah Lomu has attracted as much attention as the Northampton Saints lad. (No, I’m not comparing the two, but the collective headloss from Saffa fans has been immense).

England: Marcus Smith; Immanuel Feyi-Waboso, Tommy Freeman, Seb Atkinson, Cadan Murley; Fin Smith, Jack van Poortvliet; Ellis Genge, Jamie George (c), Joe Heyes, Alex Coles, George Martin, Ollie Chessum, Tom Curry, Ben Earl.

Replacements: Luke Cowan-Dickie, Beno Obano, Asher Opoku-Fordjour, Carlie Ewels, Guy Pepper, Henry Pollock, Alex Mitchell, Henry Slade.

Kolisi and Etzebeth out! SA team news

We’re going to find out if this depth in SA rugby everyone keeps banging on about is truth or guff.

A bombshell has landed. Both Siya Kolisi and Eben Etzebeth have been withdrawn from the match-23.

Pieter-Steph du Toit shifts to the second row and will captain the team while Cameron Hanekom – a superb athlete but one who is yet to shine on a Test pitch – will take the 7 jersey with Paul de Villiers making his debut at 6.

There’s a mini crisis at lock. In fact, there are no replacement locks on the bench with Marco van Staden and Ben-Jason Dixon (more of a loose forward than a lock) the forwards on a 5-3 bench.

South Africa: Damian Willemse; Cheslin Kolbe, Jesse Kriel, Damian de Allende, Kurt-Lee Arendse; Manie Libbok, Grant Williams; Ox Nche, Malcolm Marx, Thomas du Toit, Pieter-Steph du Toit (c), Ruan Nortje, Paul de Villiers, Cameron Hanekom, Jasper Wiese.

Replacements: Jan-Hendrik Wessels, Gerhard Steenekamp, Zachary Porthen, Marco van Staden, Ben-Jason Dixon, Cobus Reinach, Andre Esterhuizen, Canan Moodie.

Preamble

We return to the place where it all started.

Back in 2018, on a wintry Johannesburg day, Eddie Jones’ England came to town to play a dynasty in its infancy.

It was the first home match of the Rassie Erasmus era and the first time Siya Kolisi skippered the side.

After England raced to a 24-3 lead at Ellis Park, the Springboks went on to win 42-39 and begin the first steps as one of the most dominant sides the sport has ever seen. Two World Cups, a British & Irish Lions tour, three Rugby Championship titles and two of their players crowned best in the world. It’s been some ride.

England are back. They have a different coach though their hosts haven’t changed too much. Erasmus is still in charge. Kolisi is still skipper. The weight of a nation still rests on their meaty shoulders.

What has changed is the expectations around this fixture. Anything other than a South African romp will be viewed as an upset. But I’ve got a sneaky feeling England could spring a surprise. I’m not saying they’ll win, but this could be tighter than some have imagined.

In a day littered with blockbuster matches, this is surely the headline act. I cannot wait!

Kick-off at 17:40 in Johannesburg/16:40 BST.

Team news (and there are some doozies) and other bits to follow.

Updated